Hey fellow AprokoNation members,
I just read the Punch piece about Segun Showunmi, a senior PDP chieftain from Ogun, calling on non‑indigene associations and hunters’ groups to rally behind President Bola Tinubu for the 2027 election. The move has sparked a lot of chatter, so I thought we could break it down together.
What’s really happening?
- Showunmi is trying to broaden the PDP’s support base in Ogun, a state that traditionally leans APC at the presidential level.
- He specifically mentions non‑indigene organisations – traders, civil servants, and even hunters – who have settled in the state over the years.
- The rationale: Tinubu’s policies on infrastructure and trade are said to benefit these groups, especially the small‑scale traders who rely on stable logistics.
Why target non‑indigenes?
| Group | Typical concerns | Potential Tinubu appeal |
|---|---|---|
| Traders (e.g., market women) | Access to credit, market stability | Economic reforms, lower tariffs |
| Civil servants | Job security, pension reforms | Federal‑state cooperation |
| Hunters' associations | Land rights, security | Rural development programmes |
My take
- Diversification of political support works the same way we diversify a stock portfolio – you spread risk, you don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Here, the PDP is trying to hedge against losing the traditional indigenes vote by courting a different segment.
- Risks: Mobilising non‑indigenes can backfire if they feel taken for granted. Just as a stock price can dip when expectations aren’t met, political support can evaporate if promises aren’t delivered.
- Opportunity: If Tinubu’s administration can demonstrate tangible benefits – like improved road networks in Ogun’s market towns – the non‑indigene vote could become a steady pillar for the PDP in future elections.
What do you all think? Is this a smart political “investment” or a gamble that could cost the PDP its core base? Share your thoughts, and let’s keep the conversation rolling.
