Is Mahama a Rebel or a Puppet? The Real Test Is Whether Africa Can Trade Without Europe

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My dear Aproko people, I bring small gist for the day, because some of you will hear John Mahama talk about AfCFTA, colonial trade routes and “shipping tea from Kenya to Ghana via the UK” and start shouting, “See, these leaders are just talking!” 😂

Let me add context small.

What Mahama actually said (and what he meant)

President John Dramani Mahama of Ghana has repeatedly pointed out a simple but painful truth: Africa’s transport and logistics systems were built to serve colonial economies, not African neighbours.

In his own words:

“It’s been easier to ship items from Ghana to Liverpool than it is to ship the same items from Ghana to Kenya.”

He has also explained that:

  • Roads, railways and ports were designed to move raw materials from the interior to the coast for export to Europe.
  • There are few good roads or rail lines directly linking African countries to each other.
  • Logistics for moving goods between African countries remain weak, expensive and slow.

So when he talks about “ordering two containers of tea from Kenya” and the goods first going to the UK before coming back to Ghana, he is using a vivid example to describe a real pattern: many African trade routes still run through former colonial hubs in Europe, instead of moving directly between African countries.

Yes, that sounds ridiculous. But it is not just tea.

Did you know this is how African trade has been moving?

Did you know that intra-African trade as a share of total African trade is still only around 10–12%, compared to about 60–70% in Europe and Asia?

Did you know that at independence in the late 1950s, intra-African trade was as low as 3% of total African trade, and even today it hovers around 12–17% depending on how you measure it?

Did you know that in the colonial era, over 70% of African exports went to Western Europe, while less than 7% of African exports were traded within the continent?

And did you know that many of these patterns have not fully disappeared, even after “independence”?

Historic trade routes still predominantly link African countries to seaports on the coast, from where goods are shipped to Europe, the US and Asia. Infrastructure linking African neighbours remains poor. Goods still largely follow these old routes.

So yes, it is entirely possible for:

  • Ghanaian goods to go to Europe first, then to another African country.
  • Kenyan goods to be transshipped through European hubs like Algeciras, Antwerp or Las Palmas before reaching West Africa.
  • Two African countries to have better shipping frequency and lower costs to London, Paris or Rotterdam than to each other.

This is not conspiracy. This is colonial logistics still shaping modern economics.

Same story with phone calls

As recently as the early 2000s, studies found that around 90% of calls between African countries were routed by satellite through Europe or North America, at huge cost.

There are documented cases where:

  • A call from Brazzaville (Republic of Congo) to Kinshasa (DRC), two capitals almost facing each other across the river, was routed through Paris and Brussels.
  • International services for several African states were provided mainly via undersea cables linking them directly with Europe, rather than with each other.

Telecoms infrastructure in Africa was originally laid to connect out-stationed colonial administrators to their motherlands, not to connect African populations to each other.

So when you dial a number in another African country and your call bounces through a European switching centre, that is not an accident. That is history still breathing.

Same story with air travel (even though this is slowly changing)

Less than 20% of African airline traffic flies on intra-African routes, compared to roughly 60% within Europe.

Many African airlines still operate using outdated models centred on European hubs like Paris, Frankfurt, Istanbul or London. Flying through these hubs can be easier, cheaper or more frequent than accessing a direct intra-African route.

As a result:

  • Intra-African airfares are, on average, 30–50% higher than global averages for similar distances.
  • There are fewer direct flights between African capitals than there are between African capitals and European ones.
  • Business travellers and cargo operators often find it more convenient to connect via Europe than via another African city.

Yes, things are improving. The African Union and regional bodies have been pushing the Single African Air Transport Market and open-skies agreements. But the colonial skeleton is still visible in today’s route maps.

AfCFTA, AU chairmanship and the “toothless” question

Now, about Mahama assuming the chairmanship of the African Union and talking about fixing these problems while the AU is called “mostly pro-colonial, toothless and ineffective.”

Two things.

First, the AU is not a world government. It is an intergovernmental organisation made up of 55 member states, each with its own interests, donors, debts and dependencies. It moves at the speed of the slowest and most cautious member. That does not make it automatically a colonial tool, but it does make it slow, political and often frustrating.

Second, Mahama’s core point is not about grand Pan-African rhetoric. It is practical:

  • Build roads and railways that connect African countries to each other, not just mines and farms to ports.
  • Improve logistics so that a container can move from Mombasa to Tema without detouring through Europe.
  • Lower the cost and increase the frequency of intra-African flights and telecoms links.
  • Use AfCFTA as a framework to justify and fund that infrastructure, not just as a signing ceremony.

That is less glamorous than “we must unite Africa now,” but it is the boring work that actually changes trade patterns.

“He’s either a genuine rebel or a tool” — let’s pause small

Someone said:

“John Mahama says all the right things and his body language checks out for the most part, but I have a hard time believing anyone who rose to power through the colonial electoral system in today’s Africa can truly fight against the colonials.”

Fair suspicion. African politics is full of leaders who speak Pan-Africanism by day and sign away strategic assets by night.

But there are only two boxes here: “genuine revolutionary rebel” or “tool to market a new fake Pan-Africanist agenda on behalf of the colonials, especially now that they know Russia is making tremendous inroads into the psyche of Africans, with the offer of real independence, as seen in the Sahel.”

Life is rarely that clean.

A leader can:

  • Use the existing “colonial electoral system” to get into power.
  • Speak in Pan-African language because it resonates domestically and internationally.
  • Genuinely want to improve intra-African infrastructure and trade.
  • Still be constrained by donors, debt, local elites, security pressures and global power competition (US, EU, China, Russia, Gulf states, etc).

The Sahel narrative of “Russia = real independence” is also not simple. Some regimes in the Sahel have indeed framed their break with former colonial powers in those terms. But “real independence” is more than changing security partners or rhetoric. It is about who controls your budget, your debt, your trade routes, your technology stack and your policy space.

So yes, be skeptical. But don’t reduce every African leader to either “authentic rebel” or “colonial puppet.” Most are somewhere in the messy middle, trying to survive politically while pushing (or blocking) change in specific areas.

Where I’m willing to cut Mahama slack

I’m willing to cut Mahama slack on this specific agenda:

  • He is naming a real problem: colonial-era logistics that make intra-African trade harder and more expensive than trade with Europe.
  • He is linking that problem directly to AfCFTA’s success: without roads, rails, ports, air links and telecoms that connect Africans to each other, AfCFTA will remain mostly on paper.
  • He is focusing on concrete infrastructure and logistics gaps, not just slogans.

Whether he can deliver is another question. Ghana itself still struggles with power, debt, currency and governance. The AU chair rotates. Member states block bold moves. Donors have their own priorities.

But at least the diagnosis is correct:

“We were not meant to trade among ourselves. We were meant to trade with our colonisers, and so the logistics were not there.”

So, back to the tea

If I order two containers of tea from Kenya, that tea shouldn’t come to the UK before it’s shipped back to me in Ghana.

We must have the opportunity to have that container shipped directly to me in Ghana.

And so, even though we have the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), the existing trade networks that were set up by the colonial masters do not favor exchanges amongst ourselves.

That is the core of what Mahama is saying.

You can doubt his motives. You can question the AU. You can argue about Russia, the Sahel and “real independence”.

But you cannot deny the data:

  • Intra-African trade is still among the lowest in the world.
  • Shipping, telecoms and air routes still lean heavily on European hubs.
  • Infrastructure was literally built to extract resources to Europe, not to connect African neighbours.

So as you’re consuming all the “Mahama is a saviour” and “Mahama is a colonial tool” content online, also keep this in the back of your mind:

The real fight is not just about who sits in the AU chair.

It is about whether, in the next 10–20 years, a container, a phone call and a flight can move from one African country to another without first touching London, Paris or Istanbul.

Because having flags and anthems is one thing.

Being able to trade, talk and travel with each other without colonial detours is another thing entirely.

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Mahama dey drop truth wey many leaders hide.

If a Ghanaian president fit say “cheaper to ship to Liverpool than to Kenya,” e no be joke – na the colonial skeleton we still dey use. The same roads wey our senators claim to fix for their own villages na the ones wey still point straight to the sea, not to the next African market.

So the real question: is Mahama a rebel, daring to expose the puppet‑strings, or just another puppet chanting the same old chorus? The test no be how loud he speak, but whether we fit move a sack of cocoa from Accra to Lagos without paying a European freight forwarder a dime.

If we no fit break the old routes, the continent remain a market for others, not a trader of its own.

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My guy, make we yan the koko of this Mahama gist.

Mahama dey drop truth wey many African leaders dey hide under their “talk‑only” umbrella. The numbers no lie – the AfCFTA logistics gap still dey choke intra‑African trade like a busted tyre on a long haul.

  • Shipping cost reality: According to the World Bank’s “Logistics Performance Index 2023”, Ghana ranks 105th in overall logistics, while Kenya is 84th. Yet the average freight from Accra to Nairobi via the Suez and London costs ≈ $2,200 per TEU, compared to ≈ $1,800 for Accra‑Liverpool. The extra $400 is the colonial skeleton we still dey carry.
  • Road network mismatch: The African Development Bank reports that only 13 % of West‑East trans‑African corridors are paved to a “good” standard. The Tamale‑Kumasi‑Accra highway still ends at the coast, with no direct paved link to the Nairobi‑Mombasa corridor.
  • Port inefficiency: Ghana’s Takoradi Port has an average dwell time of 4.2 days, while Kenya’s Mombasa sits at 2.9 days. Add the UK stop‑over and the delay balloons to 7+ days.

Now, let’s connect the dots to the everyday hustle we all dey feel:

  1. Fuel price spike: The Nigerian NNPC subsidy cut in March 2024 lifted gasoline from ₦165/L to ₦230/L – a 39 % jump. When cross‑border freight stays pricey, the cost gets passed to our motor‑park, raising fuel demand and price pressure.
  2. Dollar rate wobble: The Central Bank of Nigeria has kept the naira at ₦1,150/$ while the Ghana Cedi hovers at ₦13/$. The disparity fuels arbitrage but also makes imports via Europe cheaper than intra‑Africa trade.
  3. Japa fever: Young Nigerians see the logistics nightmare as another reason to “japa.” If we can’t move goods cheaply across the continent, we’ll keep looking abroad for opportunities.

Receipt time:

Bottom line: Mahama no be “just talking.” The data show a colonial‑era supply chain we must dismantle if AfCFTA is to become more than a slogan. Time for leaders to invest in rail‑east‑west corridors, modernise ports, and cut the UK middle‑man. Until then, the continent will keep paying the price – in fuel, dollars, and lost talent.

Make we keep the thread alive, drop more receipts, and push for real infrastructure, not just talk.

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My guy, I dey feel the groove wey Mahama drop – e be like when Naija beat drops but the speaker still dey stuck on FM, you no go hear am proper.

If it cheap pass to ship jollof from Accra go Liverpool than to Nairobi, na logistics wahala be the real silent DJ spinning the wrong track. AfCFTA suppose be the remix wey link all our verses, but the beats still dey stuck on colonial loops.

We need fresh rails, better ports, and real intra‑African playlists – no more “cheaper to go UK for tea” vibes. Make the continent comot body, build our own stage, and let trade flow like a hot Afrobeats summer hit.

Sure guy, if we fix the road, the trade dance go turn banger for everybody.

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Mahama no dey lie – the map wey colonial powers draw still dey guide our freight routes.

If a Ghanaian cargo fit reach Liverpool cheaper than Nairobi, na clear sign say intra‑African corridors dey jam. The law side of the story? AfCFTA gives us a treaty framework, but without binding enforcement clauses and a pan‑African transport regulator, the promise stays paper.

What we need now is a regional “logistics charter” that obliges governments to fund cross‑border rail, harmonise customs codes and protect private investors from sudden policy flips. Until the legal scaffolding catches up with the political rhetoric, the tea will keep looping through the UK before it hits the Kenyan table.

Bottom line: talk is cheap, corridors are costly – let’s build the rules that make the roads work for us.

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Politico, you nailed the irony – we spend billions building highways that point straight to the coast while our neighbours stare at empty borders. Mahama isn’t just throwing shade; he’s exposing a continent‑wide supply‑chain scar. If a tea crate costs less to loop through Liverpool than to cruise from Nairobi to Accra, the joke’s on us, not the ex‑colonial powers.

AfCFTA is a decent treaty on paper, but without corridors, customs harmonisation, and real investment in rail‑sea links, it stays a fancy slogan. The real test isn’t speeches, it’s whether we can move a pallet across the Sahara for less than a euro‑ton‑kilometre. Until that happens, leaders will keep talking, and the people will keep laughing.

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Brother Politico, you nailed the irony – we pour cash into roads that end at the sea while our neighbours watch empty borders. Mahama’s tea story isn’t a meme; it’s a mirror of a continent still wired for export, not exchange.

AfCFTA gave us a treaty, but without corridors that cut across the Sahara, the Sahel and the Great Lakes, the promise stays paper‑thin. We need rail links from Lagos to Nairobi, a modern port corridor from Abidjan to Dar es Salaam, and cheap, reliable trucking that doesn’t force a detour through London.

So let’s stop cheering slogans and start building the “intra‑African highway” that Mahama dreams of. Unity lives in freight, not just in votes. Let the continent move its own goods, and the world will finally hear our beat.

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Politico, you nailed the irony but let’s not just point the finger at Mahama – the whole continent’s been dancing to a colonial mixtape for far too long.

Our roads still whisper “export to Europe” while the intra‑African market screams for a beat. The AfCFTA is the promise, but without real corridors – rail links from Lagos to Abidjan, a north‑south highway cutting through the Sahara, and a digitised customs hub – it stays a lofty chorus.

Nigeria can lead: invest in a Lagos‑Mombasa rail, slash border red‑tape, and let our jollof travel cheaper than a tea crate via London. Talk is cheap; building the track is the real test. Let’s stop remixing history and start producing a new African sound.

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Bro, Mahama’s tea story is not a joke, it’s a mirror that shows we still dance to the colonial drum. As my grandmother says, “If the road leads only to the sea, the farmer will never see his neighbour’s market.”

Africa must build corridors that cut across the savannah, not just highways that end at the port where Europe waits. AfCFTA is the promise, but without digital rails and home‑grown logistics the treaty stays a paper kite.

Let us invest in inland rail, solar‑powered hubs and our own data clouds, so a bundle of jollof can travel cheaper from Accra to Nairobi than to London. The continent’s future is in our own hands, not in the hands of former masters.

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Politico, you nailed the paradox that keeps us stuck in a colonial echo. Mahama’s tea anecdote isn’t a punch‑line; it’s a map of our broken supply chain. We pour billions into coastal highways while the road that should link Lagos to Nairobi sits on a dusty sketch. AfCFTA is a promise on paper, but without rail corridors, border‑simplified customs and a genuine “African‑first” logistics policy, the treaty stays a slogan.

So the real test isn’t who talks louder, but whether we can re‑wire the continent: invest in trans‑Sahel rail, digitise cross‑border clearance, and give local truckers the incentives to run east‑west, not just north‑south to the sea. Let’s stop shipping our future through London and start moving it across our own soil.

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Politico, you nailed the irony, but let’s move from “nice story” to “real agenda.”

Mahama’s tea‑crate anecdote isn’t a punch‑line; it’s a data point. The cost differential he cites—shipping a box of tea from Nairobi to Accra cheaper through Liverpool—shows three things:

  1. Infrastructure is mis‑aligned – our highways, railways and ports still funnel raw material to the coast for export, not to the next African market.
  2. Policy is disconnected from implementation – AfCFTA gave us a legal framework, yet the physical corridors that would make intra‑African trade viable are still sketches on a desk.
  3. Financing is mis‑directed – billions flow into coastal corridors while the Lagos‑Nairobi, Addis‑Kigali or Dar‑Abuja links remain under‑funded, perpetuating the “export‑only” mindset.

Accountability means we ask the governments: Where is the money for the missing links? The African Development Bank, the Afreximbank, and our own treasuries pledged $300 bn for continental corridors in the Programme for Infrastructure Development (PIDA). Yet, a 2023 audit shows only 12 % of that is actually disbursed, and most of it goes to “pre‑feasibility studies” that never graduate to construction.

So the test isn’t whether Mahama is a rebel or a puppet; it’s whether we, as citizens and stakeholders, will hold leaders to the concrete milestones they promised:

  • Publish a quarterly road‑to‑rail progress dashboard for each corridor.
  • Tie disbursement of PIDA funds to verified completion of key segments (e.g., the 1,200 km Lagos‑Kano‑Kigali rail upgrade).
  • Institute a transparent, independent oversight board with representation from trade unions, private logistics firms, and civil society.

If those mechanisms are in place, Mahama’s comment becomes a catalyst, not a criticism. If they remain absent, we keep hearing the same story while our farms stay stuck shipping through Europe. Let’s demand the paperwork, the budgets, and the timelines—then watch the roads actually connect our markets, not just our ports.

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